It’s almost avocado season. There’s not as much of a yield this year. I’m not exactly sure why.
Month: August 2020
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Kamala Harris for the People
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You’re not wrong
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Well, that didn’t take long at all
What do Cuomo and Fauci have in common? They’re both from New York City, epicenter of coronavirus mismanagement. It’s time for a new and improved expert.
Introducing, Scott Atlas.
Even his name screams #winning.
Electoral Map for 8/12/20, including STE.
Arizona strengthens for Trump.
Michigan and Pennsylvania switch to Biden.
Nevada is unknown.
As expected, coronavirus cases are fully in decline now, so Arizona has moved on from that issue. In the meantime, with the federal riot control police show of force in Portland now only a distant memory, it’s benefits for Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania are declining.
Meanwhile, Biden figured out that he can sell his Irish Catholic roots in Michigan and Pennsylvania, which should illustrate how dumb socialists pushing a white privilege narrative are, as they seem to believe elections are won in San Francisco, New York, Portland, and Seattle. It now falls on Trump to make the case that he’s better for Christians than Biden.
I also marked Nevada unknown in fairness to Biden, because the last data coming out of Nevada is from January, and seven months is far too long to conclude anything either way.
Previous map.
https://www.methylated.net/2020/08/07/electoral-map-for-8-7-20-including-ste/
General Election 2020 : Biden v. Trump v. 3rd Party, including ADJ and STE + 14D MA for 8/12/20.
Dementia Joe picked former prosecutor Kamala Harris, who sent at least 1,560 people to state prison for marijuana related offenses between 2011 and 2017, as his VP. I wonder how quickly the left will now forget that all cops are bad. #ACAB
Harris was so drunk with state prosecutorial power that she giggled about threatening to prosecute parents for truancy, i.e. failing to send their children to school, arguing that children need to be in school, which is that much more fascinating now, given that it’s Democrats who refuse to reopen schools.
What’s worse for Democrats is that, just as McCain’s VP pick Sarah Palin influenced the Republican party, eventually leading to the nomination of Trump, whom she endorsed, so will Kamala Harris, upon either a win or a loss, influence the Democrat party. After all, she’s an ambitious woman who won’t go away easily.
That this is the best Democrats can do is pretty pathetic, and I mean that sincerely.
Racial attitudes towards Biden and Trump from Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Though you may believe, with all the accusations of racism, and all that conversation about black lives mattering, that blacks hate Trump, that’s not what this data shows. As it turns out, both blacks who are voting against Trump and blacks who are voting for Trump are the least likely to disapprove of him.
Of those voting for Biden, 62% of Hispanics, 54% of Whites, and 21% of Blacks are against Trump.
Of those voting for Trump, 95% of Blacks, 85% of Whites, and 79% of Hispanics are in favor of Trump.
Blacks approve of Trump the most and disapprove of him the least, while Hispanics approve of Trump the least and disapprove of him the most, likely because they’re still upset about Mexico allegedly not sending their finest, necessitating building a wall.
Secret Service shot someone outside of White House.
Breaking: Secret Service shot someone outside of White House, Trump says
Shortly after beginning a Monday evening press conference, President Trump departed from the briefing room. When he returned he reported that an individual h…
General Election 2020 : Biden v. Trump v. 3rd Party, including ADJ and STE + 14D MA for 8/10/2020.
I continued to tweak my election data model and this is what I ended up with.
First, one thing to note is that since national polls track the popular vote, and since the US has an electoral college system where a candidate may still win despite losing the popular vote, I decided to break out the popular vote (circles) from victory (stars).
Second, as was the case with 2016, it’s obvious that polls are only as good the data they collect. Aside from sampling errors, there is also something called the Bradley effect (referred to as the Shy Trump effect (STE) in the case of Trump), where a person being polled is unwilling to be honest in fear of reprisal, being shamed, ridiculed, ostracized, attacked, etc.
In 2020, with cancel culture in full swing, Trump supporters are much more likely to keep their mouths shut than in 2016, for reasons that should be obvious to everyone, so that must be factored in when making a determination.
Finally, irrespective of data adjustment, notice the trend lines. While Biden may be polling higher than Trump, Biden is polling lower than he was a year ago, while Trump is polling higher than he was a year ago, with three months remaining.
Though not exactly the same, previous.
https://www.methylated.net/2020/08/07/biden-v-trump-for-8-7-20-7d-ma-agg/
I also decided to make one for 2016 : Clinton v. Trump, because I clearly have too much time on my hands. Maybe I’ll also make the ones for 2008 and 2012 Obama when I get bored enough.