All the conservatives fleeing to Florida might not have been the smartest of moves.
Month: November 2022
Polls all indicated that Independents preferred Republicans over Democrats this election cycle, but that ended up not being the case.
Independents went for Fetterman over Oz, 57% to 39%.
The last time there was a Senate race in Pennsylvania during a midterm in 2018, the Republican, Lou Barletta, picked up 42.6% in a contest of 5 million total votes. This time, in 2022, the Republican, Mehmet Oz, picked up 47.5% in a contest of 5.1 million votes.
Trump, in a presidential year, picked up 48.2% in 2016 against Hillary, and 48.8% against Biden in 2020.
All things considered, Oz at 47.5%, 4.9 points above Barletta at 42.6%, and only 0.7 points below Trump at 48.2%, actually did well, and might have won in a presidential year with Trump or if Mastriano wasn’t on the same ticket. Our expectations were just too high.
Pennsylvania is still out of consistent GOP reach.
Republican Mehmet Oz loses the Pennsylvania Senate race.
Republican Tudor Dixon loses the Michigan gubernatorial race.
Republican Lee Zeldin loses the New York gubernatorial race.
Republican Joe O’Dea loses the Colorado Senate race.
No one was expecting him to win that race, legalized marijuana put Colorado out of reach.
Republican Ted Budd wins the North Carolina Senate race.