Electoral Map for 9/30/20, including STE.
Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire switch to Biden.
I wanted to post a pre-debate update, so this update does not include the first debate impact, but reflects largely the impact of the news that Trump paid only $750 in income taxes in 2016 and 2017, as well as the push by Republicans to fill Ginsburg’s former Supreme Court seat.
While I can’t say which issue hurt Trump more, if I had to take a guess, it would be that Trump agrees with me that only stupid people pay taxes.
With respect to the push to fill the Supreme Court seat, while that may have worked against Trump, not filling it would hurt him even more, as the incentive by Democrats to vote would be that much stronger with an open Supreme Court seat at stake.
Previous map.
https://www.methylated.net/2020/09/28/electoral-map-for-9-27-20-including-ste/